Let's do a short recap of Week 1. I finished 8-8 which isn't bad but not particularly good either. Then again, I ran out of time and just quickly made some quick picks because I had to write an essay and didn't have time to analyze all the games.
This week, I will do much better. Actually on my ESPN Pick'em account (with the spread) I went 10-6 so I guess I must have mixed up my picks here and there. In general though I went 12-4 straight up which is pretty solid.
Chicago Bears @ New Orleans Saints
Spread: New Orleans -7
Last week, Jay Cutler showed why he should still be considered a top QB in this league and so did Drew Brees. They each had over 300 yd passing and over a 105 QB rating. That sounds good to me.
But I think the edge has to go to the Bears' Defense. Brian Urlacher was the best player on the field last sunday against Atlanta; better than Matt Ryan, Michael Turner, Jay Cutler, and even Devin Hester. Brees is going to have to stare him down on every play this coming sunday and I doubt he will be able to put up the passing yards that we saw him throw for against the Packers.
The Saints have a decent defense of their own and should prevent Cutler from launching the ball over the field like he did against the Falcons. The Saints are also a little bit smarter on offense and won't give up as many turnovers as the Falcons did.
I like the Bears to cover this rather large spread; especially considering the fact the Bears were in the NFC Championship last season and they have more or less the same team this year. 7 points is far too many. I don't think they'll win, but it'll be a close game.
UPDATE: Sadly, Brian Urlacher has had to deal with familial issues and may not be able to play on sunday. Hopefully, all is well with his family. In terms of the game, I still feel confident the Bears will cover
Decision Time: Saints 24- Bears 20
Spread: Chicago Bears +7
Pick'em: New Orleans Saints
Kansas City Chiefs @ Detroit Lions
Spread: Detroit -9
When was the last time the Lions were favorites by this much?? I don't know, but I have to assume it has been a very very long time.
The Lions played pretty well last week and Mathew Stafford showed that he belongs in the NFL. The Lions have looked lost for the last decade, but it is amazing how quickly a team can turn it around. With Stafford under center and Ndamokung Suh facing off against the opposing center, the Lions look poised to become a serious team this year and a serious contender next year.
In terms of this game though, the Lions should be able to throw all over this
weakened Chiefs defense. If the Bills can do what they did last week, expect the Lions to put up at least 24 points in this game as well.
From the Kansas City perspective, it doesn't look good for them this game and probably this season. I think last year most teams didn't realize what the Chiefs had but they are not going to catch anybody by surprise this season. The Bills showed that last week as they obliterated them on both offense and defense. Matt Cassel will play better than he did last week, but not good enough to overcome their defensive shortcoming.
Decision Time: Chiefs 17 - Lions 24
Spread: Kansas City Chiefs +9
Pick'em: Detroit Lions
Jacksonville Jaguars @ New York Jets
Spread: Jets -9
The Jets have a very very good defense. The Jaguars do not have such a good offense. This seems to spell trouble for the Jaguars on the offensive side of the ball. But, they do have a great weapon in Maurice Jones Drew so the should score at least a couple TDs.
Mark Sanchez has really come into his own and is developing into a very decent QB. Not a great one, but somebody who can and will win ball games. I don't know if they can score points yet though. Last week it took a wild 4th quarter to win the game, otherwise the Jets probably wouldn't have scored more than 14 points.
I'm not too confident that the Jets will cover but I'm going to take them to win by 10 and just squeak by.
Decision Time: Jets 24 - Jaguars 14
Spread: New York Jets -10
Pick'em: New York Jets

Oakland Raiders @ Buffalo Bills
Spread: Bills -3 1/2
These are probably the two most underrated teams in the NFL.
The Bills played excellent games towards the end of the season last year and obliterated the Chiefs in their own building last week. Ryan Fitzpatrick is a good smart QB who generally makes the right decisions. With a rebuilt defense and wild-card Brad Smith, they will upset quite a few good teams this year.
The Raiders are finally the tough team that Al Davis has been trying to build since his team lost in the Super Bowl a decade ago. Darren McFadden is not the same electric player he was in College but he has finally figured out how to barrel over defensive players. Jason Campbell didn't look amazing last week, but he avoided any costly turnovers.
Decision Time: Bills 20 - Raiders 17
Spread: Oakland Raiders + 3 1/2
Pick'em: Buffalo Bills
Arizona Cardinals @ Washington Redskins
Spread: Washington -4 1/2
I know the Redskins played pretty well last week, but I am still concerned about them. They were pretty terrible last year and if it wasn't for a fluke pick-6 to begin the second half they very easily could have lost that game. In addition, I still blame very very poor defensive play on the part of the Giants rather then giving all the credit to the Redksin's offense. I forgot which defensive back did this but the Redskins were stopped on that final TD drive when one Giant DB had an unnecessary roughness call. If he doesn't do that, the Giants have another shot to win the game and maybe we aren't giving so much credit to the Redskins.
Either way though, let's talk about the upcoming Washington-Arizona game.
Rex Grossman played pretty well last week, but you never know with him. The Cardinals do not have such a great defense though, so he should be relatively safe from the blitz. If he has time in the pocked he will make the Cardinals pay. But, if they can put pressure on him then he will make some very costly errors. Tim Hightower should alleviate some of that pressure and could be the bigger factor than Grossman in this game. If you're looking for a Fantasy edge, definitely get Hightower into your lineup this week. He'll probably get at least one score and go over 100 yards.
On the Cardinals side of the ball; they have one of the more potent passing games in the NFL this year. Kevin Kolb finally has his chance to play consistenly, and Larry Fitzgerald once again has a good QB. The two of them will continue to make each other look good each week. Their offense was the reason they won last week and I think it'll be the reason again. Beanie Wells is good at running back but he'll need to play better than Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw did for the Giants last week against the Redskins for the Cardinals to win this game.
Decision Time: Cardinals 24 - Redskins 20
Spread: Arizona Cardinals +4 1/2
Pick'em: Arizona Cardinals
Baltimore Ravens @ Tennessee Titans
Spread: Baltimore -6
Anybody else watch the Raven's game last week? I think if I remember correctly they crushed the Steelers who if I also remember correctly were in the Super Bowl last year. I konw the Steelers are probably not going to be nearly as good this year as they have been, but I believe it was more the Ravens defense then it was the Steelers' offensive ineptitude.
Now that we've established that, let's talk about this upcoming game. Clearly the Ravens are the more physical team. They have a better running game and defense and although Matt Hasselbeck was once an elite QB he is not anymore. Joe Flacco will be the best QB on the field come sunday.
So why is this spread only 6 points? I have absolutely no idea. I guess it's possible that the Titans establish Chris Johnson early and then Hasselbeck can air it out wit his arm but I just don't see that happening. Chris Johnson didn't do much last year and I think that he, like many running backs before him, had that one great year and will never be able to repeat it.
I guess the Titans will be in this game for a while, but you gotta figure the Ravens win this one easily.
Decision Time: Ravens 27 - Titans 13
Spread: Baltimore Ravens -6
Pick'em: Baltimore Ravens
Seattle Seahwaks @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Spread: Pittsburgh -15
Umm, this is a very very big spread for an early season game. But, the Seahawks did not look good last year, and many people had the Steelers repeating in the Super Bowl this year. But, I think Seattle will give Pittsburgh some problems.
First of all, Seattle is a young team with lots of speed while the Steelers are aging group of veterans who have looked awfully slow last week.
I'm not going to spend much time talking about this because I think the Steelers will win this game. I'm not sure about the spread but if i had to I would take the Seahawks.
Decision Time: Steelers 27 - Seahawks 14
Spread: Seattle Seahawks +15
Pick'em: Pittsburgh Steelers
Green Bay Packers @ Carolina Panthers
Spread: Green Bay -10 1/2
I feel like I'm repeating myself here with the Steeler-Seahawk game.
The Packers are going to win this game, it's just a question of by how much.
Well last week Cam Newton and the Panthers played a pretty weak defensive team in Arizona, scored by 21 and lost by 7 points. Green Bay's offense and defense are each far and away better than Arizonas so you'd expect Green Bay to win by at least 7.
And that is what's going to happen.
Decision Time: Packers 31 - Panthers 13
Spread: Green Bay Packers -10 1/2
Pick'em: Green Bay Packers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Minnesota Vikings
Spread: Minnesota -3
I find it a little odd that Minnesota is favored in this game, considering the fact that Donovan McNabb threw for all of 39 yards last week. They did hang tight against a good San Diego team, but if it weren't for an early Percy Harvin KR TD it would have been a blowout.
Tampa Bay did lose to Detroit, but they played a pretty decent game. Josh Freeman should bounce back against Minnesota's weaker defense and throw for a couple TDs. LeGarrette Blount was complaining after last week that he should get the ball a little more. He only had 5 carries last week. He is absolutely right. If Tampa Bay can establish the running game early, they should cruise into a victory.
Decision Time: Buccaneers 17 - Vikings 10
Spread: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3
Pick'em: Tampa Bay
Cleveland Browns @ Indianapolis Colts
Spread: Cleveland -2
If this game were played last year or any other of the last 10 years, Indianapolis would probably be a 10 point favorite. So much has changed though. The Colts looked awful last week against Houston and I don't know if they can survive with Peyton Manning on the field. Their defense looked weak, their offense looked bleak and they barely even mounted a squeak last week.
The Browns were upset last week and looked a little out of place against Cincinnati. Everybody kind of assumed the Bengals were going to be terrible and I don't think the Browns really knew what to expect.
This week should be different. Both teams now know what they have and both teams know that they have to win. I do see the Colts pulling the upset though because of two reasons.
1. If they don't win this game their season is over and they know that. Kerry Collins should be a little more comfortable than last week and will play better.
2. This game is in Indianapolis. I know it may sound a little silly, but the home field advantage is going to make all the difference.
Decision Time: Colts 24 - Browns 20
Spread: Indianapolis Colts +2
Pick'em: Indianapolis Colts
Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers
Spread: Dallas -3
Decision Time:
Houston Texans @ Miami Dolphins
Spread: Texans -3
Decision Time:
San Diego Chargers @ New England Patriots
Spread: Patriots -7
Decision Time:
Cincinnati Bengals @ Denver Broncos
Spread: Broncos -3 1/2
Decision Time:
Philadelphia Eagles @ Atlanta Falcons
Spread: Philadelphia -3
Decision Time:
St. Louis Rams @ New York Giants
Spread:
Decision Time
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